Horizontal mergers in the iron ore industry—An application of PCAIDS

The purpose of this paper is to estimate and analyse the price effects of the iron ore mergers between Rio Tinto and North Ltd in 2000, and CVRD and Caemi in 2001. The analyses are conducted using a merger simulation model that, based on the pre-merger situation, estimates the post-merger outcome. This paper applies the so-called proportionality-calibrated almost ideal demand system (PCAIDS) model, which assumes that the product is differentiated and that the strategic variable is price. The results from the merger simulations show that in the case of the merger between Rio Tinto and North Ltd, the merged firm has a combined market share of almost 20%. However, the estimated market weighted average price effect is only 2.6%. Regarding the merger between CVRD and Caemi, the merged firm's market share is about 29%, and the estimated market weighted average price effect is 4.6%. When removing Caemi's Canadian asset, which was the Commission decision in order to allow the merger, the market price effect decreases to 3.1%. Overall the results in this study support the Commission's decisions regarding both merger cases, and shows that merger simulations of price effects can be valuable tools in merger assessments.     

甜龙竹不同种植年限对土壤真菌群落的影响

为探究甜龙竹(Dendrocalamus brandisii)种植年限对土壤真菌群落的影响,以不同种植年限(5、 10、 20和40 a)甜龙竹土壤为研究对象,采用高通量测序技术和FUNGuild功能预测相结合的研究方法,分析不同种植年限下甜龙竹土壤真菌群落结构、多样性和功能的差异,揭示驱动土壤真菌群落变化的主要土壤环境因子.结果表明,土壤真菌在门水平上的优势群落为子囊菌门(Ascomycota)、担子菌门(Basidiomycota)、被孢霉门(Mortierellomycota)和毛霉菌门(Mucoromycota);被孢霉门的相对丰度随着种植年限的增加先降低后升高,在不同种植年限差异显著(P<0.05).在纲水平上的优势群落为粪壳菌纲(Sordariomycetes)、伞菌纲(Agaricomycetes)、散囊菌纲(Eurotiomycetes)和被孢霉纲(Mortierellomycetes);粪壳菌纲和座囊菌纲(Dothideomycetes)的相对丰度随着种植年限的增加先降低后升高,在不同种植年限差异显著(P<0.01).土壤真菌Richness指数和Shan...     

黄土丘陵区不同恢复植被类型的固碳特征

为分析黄土高原水土流失严重区不同恢复植被类型的固碳特征,比较恢复年限和坡向因素对植被碳汇效应的影响,在陕北黄土丘陵区选取了6种典型植被类型（农地、草地、沙棘、柠条、刺槐和山杨）,研究了不同类型的生态系统碳密度及其构成特征.结果表明：①半干旱黄土区植被恢复具有明显的碳汇功能,不同植被组分（地上生物、地下根系和枯落物）碳密度均表现出乔木>灌丛>草地>农地的变化特征.农地0~40 cm土层土壤有机碳密度最低（1355.5 g ·m^-2）,草地、沙棘、柠条、刺槐和山杨较农地分别增加了91.4%、125.2%、144.0%、124.5%和232.6%.②草地、沙棘、柠条和山杨的不同植被组分碳密度和不同土层（0~5、5~20和20~40 cm）土壤有机碳密度随恢复时间的推移总体上表现出增加趋势.③坡向对农地和草地植被碳密度无明显影响,沙棘、柠条、刺槐和山杨不同坡向间的植被碳密度差异明显.土壤有机碳密度存在明显的阴阳坡差异,农地、草地、沙棘、柠条、刺槐和山杨阳坡土壤有机碳密度分别比阴坡减少了22.9%、34.3%、75.8%、49.1%、22.4%和69.4%.④不同类型的生态系统碳密度差异明显,其中农地最低（2022.1 g ·m^-2）,草地、沙棘、柠条、刺槐和山杨较农地分别增加了48.7%、152.8%、125.1%、166.3%和530.7%.生态系统各组分碳密度总体表现为：土壤层>地上生物层>根系层>枯落物层.土壤有机碳构成了农地、草地、沙棘、柠条和刺槐碳密度的主体,分别占生态系统碳密度的67.0%、86.3%、59.7%、72.7%和56.5%.研究结果可为黄土高原地区科学管理生态系统碳库和推进生态环境治理提供重要依据.     

近三十年中国非点源污染研究现状与未来发展方向探讨

非点源污染是我国面临的重要环境问题之一,其影响范围广,污染不易控制,因此受到研究者和管理者越来越多的关注.中国非点源污染研究呈起步晚、速度快、范围广的发展特点,近十年来相关论文发表已达到一定数量,但是现有研究多是针对非点源污染体系中某些方面进行探究,缺少从全国尺度和长时间序列角度对我国非点源污染研究现状的梳理和总结.本文从全球主要文献库中检索了1988—2018年我国非点源污染的相关文章,挑选出1354篇文章进行统计分析,对于年发文数量、研究区所属省份、研究区所属流域、研究对象和研究方法分别进行统计展示.对我国近三十年非点源污染研究现状与存在问题进行总结,其中农业非点源污染需要继续深入探究其机理,城市非点源污染研究深度不足,研究地区有较大差异,研究方法存在复杂性与实用性的矛盾.未来中国非点源污染研究仍会以农业和农村非点源为主要研究对象;城市非点源将得到进一步发展;非点源污染物的防治与利用将成为重要的研究目标和研究方向;在国家实施的长江大保护战略及黄河生态保护高质量发展战略中,非点源污染也是关键研究问题;全球变化对非点源污染的影响也将是未来研究不可忽视的问题.本文对近三十年中国非点源污染研究规律进行了总结,探究发展变化原因,并提出未来发展方向,为污染源控制以及污染管理提供科学建议和决策支持.     

硫酸盐还原菌对EH40焊接钢海水腐蚀的影响

目的研究无菌和SRB体系中EH40钢焊接接头的母材区、热影响区和焊缝区腐蚀差异。方法利用金相显微镜观察、失重法、电化学测试、扫描电镜和X射线光电子能谱仪等分析手段。结果焊缝区微观组织由块状铁素体(BLF)和魏氏组织(W)组成;热影响区可再分为粗晶区(CGHAZ)和细晶区(FGHAZ)两个区;母材区主要由BLF、AF和少量珠光体组成。在无菌对照体系中,焊缝区腐蚀速率为0.0026 mm/a,混合区次之,为0.0023 mm/a,母材区最小,为0.0019 mm/a。含SRB体系中,各区的腐蚀速率为:焊缝区(0.0037 mm/a)混合区(0.0034 mm/a)母材区(0.0030 mm/a)。热影响区腐蚀产物形貌粗大,点蚀孔也较大。结论焊缝区比母材区容易腐蚀,由此易造成小阳极大阴极加速腐蚀,热影响区容易发生点蚀。SRB能促进三个区域试样腐蚀加速。     

过去300a长江中下游异常丰梅事件变化与洪涝灾害

2016年6—7月,长江流域发生重大洪涝灾害,给社会生产和人民生活带来严重损失。而该时段内梅雨因其强降水过程频繁、持续时间长、雨量集中等特点成为主要致灾因子。论文利用历史文献和观测资料,构建了1736年以来异常丰梅事件年表,分析了其长期变化特征及与El Ni?o事件的统计关系,并诊断了El Ni?o造成异常丰梅事件的大气环流背景。结果表明:1736—2016年间共发生44次异常丰梅事件(含21次特大梅雨事件),其中1900年代、1910年代、1990年代是异常丰梅事件最为频繁的3个时段;与2016年梅雨特征相近的特大梅雨事件有21次。过去300 a间,异常丰梅事件与El Ni?o存在较好的对应关系,44次异常丰梅事件中37次发生在El Ni?o的当年或次年;在21次特大梅雨事件中16次伴随El Ni?o出现。伴随El Ni?o事件而发生的异常丰梅事件环流特点是中高纬经向环流偏强,我国境内水汽输送通道偏西、偏北,大量水汽滞留在长江流域,并与南下的冷空气交汇,从而形成持续性降水;而在El Ni?o次年,低纬存在较强且稳定的副热带高压,水汽输送路径偏北,长江中下游水汽输送通量显著增强,更容易导致异常丰梅事件的发生。     

三十年来的中国泥石流研究

本文通过对我国泥石流研究成果的总结，结合作者们工作的心得体会，就我国３０年来的泥石流研究工作进行回顾与展望；并针对国情和灾情，提出了相应的意见和建议。     

我国内陆流域各类水体中天然放射性核素浓度

1985年～1989年由新疆、甘肃、青海、西藏、内蒙古、陕西、宁夏等省、自治区环境监测站(研究所)对内陆流域各类水体中U、Th、~(226)Ra、~(40)K浓度进行调查,由调查的29条内陆河、23个湖泊、15座水库、55处井泉和34个自来水的统计结果表明,流域内各水体中U和~(40)K浓度的平均值与同期调查的黄河水系同类水体的浓度相近,明显高于长江水系,与全国同类水体相比亦属偏高。Th和~(226)Ra的平均浓度与全国同类水体的浓度相近,甘、新内陆区浓度较低。调查发现,一些咸水湖、井水和自来水中U、~(226)Ra,或~(40)K浓度异常偏高。     

A review of biomarker compounds as source indicators and tracers for air pollution

An overview of the application of organic geochemistry to the analysis of organic matter on aerosol particles is presented here. This organic matter is analyzed as solvent extractable bitumen/ lipids by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. The organic geochemical approach assesses the origin, the environmental history and the nature of secondary products of organic matter by using the data derived from specific molecular analyses. Evaluations of production and fluxes, with cross-correlations can thus be made by the application of the same separation and analytical procedures to samples from point source emissions and the ambient atmosphere. This will be illustrated here with typical examples from the ambient atmosphere (aerosol particles) and from emissions of biomass burning (smoke). Organic matter in aerosols is derived from two major sources and is admixed depending on the geographic relief of the air shed. These sources are biogenic detritus (e.g., plant wax, microbes, etc.) and anthropogenic particle emissions (e.g., oils, soot, synthetics, etc.). Both biogenic detritus and some of the anthropogenic particle emissions contain organic materials which have unique and distinguishable compound distribution patterns (C₁₄-C₄₀). Microbial and vascular plant lipids are the dominant biogenic residues and petroleum hydrocarbons, with lesser amounts of the pyrogenic polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) and synthetics (e.g., chlorinated compounds), are the major anthropogenic residues. Biomass combustion is another important primary source of particles injected into the global atmosphere. It contributes many trace substances which are reactants in atmospheric chemistry and soot paniculate matter with adsorbed biomarker compounds, most of which are unknown chemical structures. The injection of natural product organic compounds into smoke occurs primarily by direct volatilization/steam stripping and by thermal alteration based on combustion temperature. Although the molecular composition of organic matter in smoke particles is highly variable, the molecular tracers are generally still source specific. Retene has been utilized as a tracer for conifer smoke in urban aerosols, but is not always detectable. Dehydroabietic acid is generally more concentrated in the atmosphere from the same emission sources. Degradation products from biopolymers (e.g., levoglucosan from cellulose) are also excellent tracers. An overview of the biomarker compositions of biomass smoke types is presented here. Defining additional tracers of thermally-altered and directly-emitted natural products in smoke aids the assessment of the organic matter type and input from biomass combustion to aerosols. The precursor to product approach of compound characterization by organic geochemistry can be applied successfully to provide tracers for studying the chemistry and dispersion of ambient aerosols and smoke plumes. Presented at the 6th FECS Conference on Chemistry and the Environment, Atmospheric Chemistry and Air Pollution, August 26–28, 1998, Copenhagen.     

近50年来广东冬季寒害的特征

利用广东省86个地面气象站近50年(1951-2000年)逐日平均气温和最低气温资料,采用针对冬季经济林果的寒害指标,统计分析了近50年冬季寒害的特征.分析得出:(1)广东冬季寒害频数北多南少,各地平均年均1次,其中严重寒害近4成,严重寒害中又以降温型亚类Ⅲ最为典型,占6成以上.(2)寒害过程降温幅度平均达13.6℃,且越往南越大;过程最低气温平均2.6℃,高于冻害临界值0℃;寒害过程降温平均历时4d.(3)寒害分布于10月末至3月底,其中12月到1月累计占85%,月际分布大致呈以1月为峰值的单峰型;亚类Ⅲ12月和2月多于1月,呈双峰分布.(4)1980年是广东冬季气温变化的分水岭,寒害年均综合频数前30年多(160站次),后20年少(96站次).(5)近50年广东冬季寒害年代际变化特征为:50,60,70年代逐渐增强,80年代迅速减弱,90年代有所回升(依然弱于50年代),年代际寒害由强到弱顺序为:70年代,60年代,50年代,90年代和80年代.